Friday, August 15, 2008

Finally....we have Fay!

It took a while but the Hurricane Hunters finally found enough evidence to classify our tropical disturbance as Tropical Storm Fay. Sustained winds are at 40 mph and she is moving west at about 15 mph.

Fay has a long road ahead of her. As I talked about in my last post, the terrain of eastern Cuba has tall mountains. This will help disrupt the storm and keep it from strengthening. So the official forecast keeps Fay at tropical storm status through the weekend. A gradual turn to the north is expected but not guaranteed. I have seen this many times before when a tropical system never takes that turn. I do not expect Fay to reach Texas, but she maybe a little more in the eastern Gulf of Mexico than the cone of uncertainty shows. Something to keep in the back of your mind.