4th of July Forecast

After a rainy weekend, the weather is pretty nice for summer. However, it is Texas and the weather always changes. As we get closer to the 4th of July holiday, the humidity levels will rise and it will be back to warm and muggy weather across East Texas. This will also lead to the sea breeze popping up a few afternoon storms. So on the 4th, there is a slight chance we could see one or two storms. I really don't think we will see widespread activity so I would not cancel those outdoor plans. If the rain does develop it will be mainly in the late afternoon hours, so between 3:00 and 7:00. The first half of Friday should remain dry.

If you are going to watch the fireworks this year, we want to know where. Vote in our poll that is on the right side of your screen. Also, you may have noticed the fireworks display above the poll question. Just click anywhere in the sky to create your own fireworks show!

An Active Sunday Afternoon

The past couple of days, we have been telling you about how active things may be on Sunday as an unusual June cool front dipped into Texas. Sure enough, we saw a couple rounds of storms rumble through the Piney Woods, dumping heavy rainfall, containing gusty winds, and producing lots of cloud-to-ground lightning strikes. The first round came through Angelina county and affected the communities of Hudson, Lufkin, and Huntington. That complex then rolled eastward towards Woodville and extended towards Jasper and Newton.

Behind that complex of storms was another that fired up just after 5pm local time. This was an image captured by our very own Live Doppler 9 Network showing you a storm that prompted a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for southern Cherokee county.





The polygon area highlighted in yellow was the area most affected by the storm.

This storm continued its trek towards the east and as it did, we were monitoring it closely.

One of the unique features we have to analyze a storm is a feature we call "XVISION." This allows us to slice into the storm and look at it in a 3-dimensional mode. What this image shows is what the storm looked like entering Nacogdoches county. It showed a very intense storm, with storm heights around 30-40,000 feet.

Anytime storms build that high in the atmosphere, that tells us a couple of things. It first signals very strong vertical motion. But secondly, and more importantly, it tells us that there could be a hail core in which hailstones could have been falling from the storm. Fortunately, no one had reports of hail with this particular storm.

Remember, if you ever see hail falling from the sky or have gusty winds that do some damage, we encourage you to send us an email at weather@ktre.com. This allows our meteorologists to better know what's happening and allows them to relay your message to the public so that they can be properly warned.


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Can You Say Cool Front in June?

It is rare to talk about cool fronts, especially in the summer months. However, it is a fairly strong cool front for this time of year that will drift into East Texas on Sunday, leading to numerous showers and storms.

The cool front has already sparked storms this evening off in north Texas and southern Oklahoma, where Severe Thunderstorm Watches are in effect through the late evening hours.

This front will make progress towards the south overnight and arrive here sometime Sunday afternoon.

This cool front will serve as a focusing mechanism for showers and storms to develop. If we get sunshine early in the day, that could lead to some strong storms by the afternoon. My gut feeling is that we will see lots of clouds and not much sunshine, limiting the threat for severe weather.

There will be two affects from this front.

1.) We should get some more beneficial rainfall from this event. This our Microcast Computer Model showing the potential 48 hour rainfall totals from Saturday evening through Monday evening. Notice that most areas could possibly see anywhere from a quarter of an inch to possibly over an inch of rain. Some areas could see more than that if heavy rainfall develops and moves over the same areas.

2.) The second affect from the front won't be noticed until late Monday and into Tuesday of next week. Will it be cooler weather? Well, no, but it will be lower humidity. This, in turn, will lead to cooler mornings with warm afternoons. Often times the drier air will make for a more refreshing airmass this time of year and can really be felt in the early morning and late evening hours.

Make sure you tune in tonight as we will have the latest updates on those storms to our north. If anything gets rumbling around these parts tomorrow, keep it tuned to KTRE-TV and right here as we will have updates.

Summer Rain

If you think back to the beginning of June, it had seemed like summer started early and there was no hope for rain. This brought back memories from the summer of 2006 when the state was in a bad drought. I remember showing burn bans almost everyday. Now, the weather pattern is in our favor for more rain over the next 5-7 days. The area of high pressure to our west, known as our summer ridge, will stay far enough away to keep the dry and hot weather over the dessert southwest. A powerful storm system will develop across the northern plains, bringing unwanted weather to Iowa and the Mississippi River. We are stuck in between these two systems, allowing for the sea breeze and daytime heating to spark off scattered thunderstorms. The low pressure to our north might even push a cold front into East Texas late in the weekend, leading to even more rain. Even if you are tired of the rain, we need to be thankful because the dry, summer heat will more than likely invade in July and August.

Severe Weather Update 2:00 PM

The National Weather Service in Houston has issued a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Polk and Trinity counties until 3:00 PM. This storm is capable of producing penny size hail and gusty winds in excess of 60 mph. It is moving north at 20 mph. The storm will effect Corrigan in about 30 minutes and if it holds together, will move into Angelina county in about an hour. As you can see, more thunderstorms are developing and moving into the area. More updates to come!

More Afternoon Storms

More storms are developing to our south and moving northward into our part of East Texas. I already had a little rain and thunder at my house in Lufkin and more is on the way. Look at profiles of the atmosphere, we have almost no cap, lots of moisture, and plenty of energy for these storms. That means, just like yesterday, a few of the storms could turn severe briefly. We will be watching closely. Remember that lightning can strike up to 10 miles away from a storm so if you can hear thunder, head inside and stay there until the storm has passed. In Houston yesterday, a man was riding his bicycle and was struck by lightning. Luckily, he was revived at the hospital and is doing ok. Let's learn from his mistake.

Damage Report

The storms from this afternoon did cause some damage across the area. We had a wind report of 60 mph in Lufkin that blew down several trees. However, overall reports were limited so it could of been worse. Summer storms like these have the tendency to be pulse severe. In other words, they briefly produce severe weather then quickly weaken. There was a lot of energy in the atmosphere today so it was no surprise these storms erupted. I expect another round tomorrow afternoon, but the storms will probably be more isolated.

The good news from the storms is the rain we saw. For the year, we were about 2 inches below normal. Today's rain has helped! Our weather watchers had some nice totals as well. I have a neighbor who is a gardener and asked if he could get some rain on Wednesday for his garden. I am glad I could help! If you want more rain, keep your fingers crossed that you see it Thursday or Friday.