Saturday, June 28, 2008

Can You Say Cool Front in June?

It is rare to talk about cool fronts, especially in the summer months. However, it is a fairly strong cool front for this time of year that will drift into East Texas on Sunday, leading to numerous showers and storms.

The cool front has already sparked storms this evening off in north Texas and southern Oklahoma, where Severe Thunderstorm Watches are in effect through the late evening hours.

This front will make progress towards the south overnight and arrive here sometime Sunday afternoon.

This cool front will serve as a focusing mechanism for showers and storms to develop. If we get sunshine early in the day, that could lead to some strong storms by the afternoon. My gut feeling is that we will see lots of clouds and not much sunshine, limiting the threat for severe weather.

There will be two affects from this front.
1.) We should get some more beneficial rainfall from this event. This our Microcast Computer Model showing the potential 48 hour rainfall totals from Saturday evening through Monday evening. Notice that most areas could possibly see anywhere from a quarter of an inch to possibly over an inch of rain. Some areas could see more than that if heavy rainfall develops and moves over the same areas.
2.) The second affect from the front won't be noticed until late Monday and into Tuesday of next week. Will it be cooler weather? Well, no, but it will be lower humidity. This, in turn, will lead to cooler mornings with warm afternoons. Often times the drier air will make for a more refreshing airmass this time of year and can really be felt in the early morning and late evening hours.
Make sure you tune in tonight as we will have the latest updates on those storms to our north. If anything gets rumbling around these parts tomorrow, keep it tuned to KTRE-TV and right here as we will have updates.