Friday, September 12, 2008

Updated Models Not Changing

The forecast track models from this morning indicate that Ike will make landfall shortly after midnight very near Galveston Island.

What's interesting to note is that these models haven't budged much over the past couple of days. That, combined with the fact these models are all bunched together are giving us much certainty that landfall will occur near Galveston. As a result, we are not expecting any drastic turns to the north before landfall.

Remember that three years ago, Rita made a last minute shift to the north and made landfall further up the coast. This time, it doesn't look like a dramatic shift will take place. That doesn't mean the center of Ike could make landfall a little further up the coast from Galveston, it just means that if it does, it won't be too much farther than what the models are indicating.

Remember, forecast tracks from the National Hurricane Center are updated every 6 hours, at 10 and 4 o'clock both in the morning and evening hours. You can get the next forecast track update at 4pm this afternoon. Of course you can get this information and the latest coordinates on Ike by going to our Hurricane Center.